
On the surface, the labor market appears to be stabilizing. Turnover is low, hiring has slowed and most employees are staying put, a phenomenon researchers are calling “job hugging.” However, millions of American workers are using AI to develop skills, boost confidence and position themselves for a career pivot without assistance from their employers.
According to the University of Phoenix Career Institute’s 2026 Career Optimism Index, which surveyed 5,000 U.S. working adults and 1,000 employers earlier this year, 50% of people say AI makes them more confident about pivoting to a new role. Nearly half of employers already worry they cannot retain AI-fluent talent, and that risk is only growing.
Here’s what the research says about AI’s growing role in career pivots, as well as what attentive workers are doing about it.
According to a recent analysis by BCG, 50% to 55% of U.S. jobs will be reshaped by AI within the next two to three years. For most people, their role will look fundamentally different.
BCG breaks down AI’s impact on roles into six categories:
For employees considering a career pivot, the window between now and when those changes arrive is the most valuable time to act.
What makes the current trend notable is that employees aren’t waiting for their employers to lead. The 2026 Career Optimism Index found that half of workers are learning AI independently, pointing to strong demand for AI skill building even without formal employer support.
The confidence gains are significant:
Employees who have invested in AI fluency are not just more confident at work. They are more optimistic about what comes next.
Building AI skills is only part of the equation. The roles that workers want to pivot into are themselves being transformed. According to an April 2026 Brookings Institution report, nearly half of the career pathways between mid-level and higher-wage jobs are highly exposed to AI, meaning the destinations workers are aiming for are also in flux.
Brookings identifies what it calls “Gateway” occupations, roles that have historically served as stepping stones from entry-level work to high-level positions. Customer service representatives, administrative assistants and clerical workers all fall into this category. These are among the most AI-exposed roles in the labor market right now, and they represent the career pathways millions of people rely on to move up.
The implication for anyone planning a career pivot is significant. Waiting for the right moment may mean pivoting into a role that has already been redefined, or one with fewer opportunities than it had before. The workers best positioned to land in stronger roles are the ones building AI fluency before the career pivot.
The research points to a clear opportunity for workers who are willing to act. BCG notes that AI fluency is becoming as important as tenure in determining who advances, and that employees who proactively adopt AI tools are better positioned for higher-level responsibilities. For anyone considering a career pivot, that is a significant shift in how readiness is being evaluated.
A few places to start:
The conditions for a new wave of career movement are building. Job growth is showing signs of strengthening, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ March Employment Situation report, and AI-fluent workers are the most likely to move when the market opens up. The last time employees held this much leverage was when the Great Resignation sent employers scrambling to retain talent. Researchers at the University of Phoenix suggest a similar dynamic may be forming now.
The difference this time is that AI is the catalyst. Workers who have spent this period of market stability building AI skills will enter the next job market shift with something the previous wave largely lacked: a concrete, demonstrable capability that employers are actively competing for. That capability could become a powerful advantage in any career pivot. Nearly half of employers already worry about retaining AI-fluent talent. For workers who have been building those skills, that is the leverage that matters.